Regime-Adaptive Portfolio
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PREMIUMPremium

Regime-Adaptive Portfolio

The Regime-Adaptive Portfolio is our most sophisticated offering — a complete portfolio management system that dynamically shifts allocation across three distinct strategy regimes based on real-time market conditions detected by a Hidden Markov Model (HMM). In trending markets, the system allocates heavily to momentum strategies. In range-bound conditions, it shifts to mean-reversion. During high-volatility or crisis periods, it moves to a defensive posture with reduced exposure and tail-risk hedging. This is not a signal service — it's a complete portfolio solution. You receive daily allocation recommendations for 10-15 positions, with precise sizing, entry levels, and risk parameters. The system is designed for serious capital deployment and includes a monthly strategy review report and a 1-on-1 onboarding call.

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Expected Price
$399/mo
or $3,490/yr (save 27%)

Early-bird pricing available for waitlist members

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Be the first to know when it launches

Regime-Adaptive Portfolio is currently in development. Enter your email to get notified when it becomes available — plus early-bird pricing.

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2.43
Sharpe Ratio
+18.7%
CAGR
−14.1%
Max Drawdown
1.32
Calmar Ratio
Performance

Trailing 12-Month Returns

Monthly Returns (Trailing 12M)YTD: 26.4%
Jan+3.1%Feb+1.2%Mar-2.4%Apr+4.5%May+2.8%Jun+1.7%Jul+3.9%Aug-1.1%Sep+2.3%Oct+5.2%Nov+1.8%Dec+3.4%

Past performance does not guarantee future results. All returns are net of transaction costs.

Methodology

How It Works

01

Hidden Markov Model with 3 states (trend, mean-revert, crisis)

02

Gaussian mixture emission distributions for state identification

03

Baum-Welch algorithm for parameter estimation

04

Viterbi decoding for most-likely state sequence

05

Dynamic allocation weights based on state probabilities

06

Monthly model recalibration with expanding window

Instruments

Tradeable Universe

US Large-Cap Equities (top 200 by liquidity)
Sector ETFs for thematic exposure
Treasury bonds for defensive allocation
Gold and commodity ETFs for inflation hedging
Volatility products for tail-risk management
Risk Management

Capital Protection

Regime-conditional position sizing
Maximum 5% single-position risk
Portfolio VaR limit of 2% daily
Automatic deleveraging in crisis regime
Tail-risk hedging via VIX call spreads
Monthly rebalancing with drift tolerance
What You Get

Deliverables

Daily portfolio allocation update
Real-time regime probability dashboard
Weekly performance attribution report
Monthly deep-dive strategy review (PDF)
Quarterly 1-on-1 strategy call
Full Python codebase for verification
Pricing

Choose Your Plan

All plans include a 14-day money-back guarantee. No questions asked.

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Portfolio Lite

$249/mo
monthly
  • Daily allocation recommendations
  • Regime probability dashboard
  • Email delivery
  • Monthly performance report
  • Community access
Recommended
Coming Soon

Portfolio Pro

$399/mo
monthly
  • Everything in Lite
  • IBKR auto-rebalancing integration
  • Weekly attribution breakdown
  • Python verification codebase
  • Quarterly 1-on-1 strategy call
  • Priority support channel
Coming Soon

Portfolio Elite

$799/mo
monthly
  • Everything in Pro
  • Custom regime model calibration
  • Custom instrument universe
  • Monthly 1-on-1 strategy call
  • API access for fund integration
  • White-label reporting
Coming Soon
Be the first to know when it launches

Regime-Adaptive Portfolio is currently in development. Enter your email to get notified when it becomes available — plus early-bird pricing.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.

FAQ

Common Questions

Interested in This Service?

This consulting package is currently being developed. Join the waitlist to be notified when it launches — plus receive early-bird pricing.

Coming Soon
Be the first to know when it launches

Regime-Adaptive Portfolio is currently in development. Enter your email to get notified when it becomes available — plus early-bird pricing.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.